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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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DERBY COUNTY
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Derby County's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Derby County sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1972 | Saturday, April 15, 1972 | 4130.29 |
| 1948 | Saturday, November 6, 1948 | 4126.55 |
| 1897 | Saturday, March 6, 1897 | 4122.66 |
| 1976 | Saturday, March 20, 1976 | 4121.80 |
| 1896 | Wednesday, March 4, 1896 | 4120.47 |
| 1950 | Saturday, January 7, 1950 | 4115.38 |
| 1949 | Saturday, December 31, 1949 | 4104.90 |
| 1970 | Wednesday, August 26, 1970 | 4099.30 |
| 1934 | Saturday, February 3, 1934 | 4097.33 |
| 1898 | Saturday, March 19, 1898 | 4094.18 |
| 1973 | Wednesday, February 7, 1973 | 4089.17 |
| 1975 | Saturday, November 29, 1975 | 4087.30 |
| 1971 | Saturday, November 20, 1971 | 4086.78 |
| 1895 | Saturday, December 28, 1895 | 4082.61 |
| 1933 | Monday, December 25, 1933 | 4081.62 |
A list of the worst 15 Derby County sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1955 | Monday, December 26, 1955 | 3619.93 |
| 1956 | Saturday, January 14, 1956 | 3636.78 |
| 1957 | Saturday, February 9, 1957 | 3654.05 |
| 1985 | Saturday, March 2, 1985 | 3655.59 |
| 1982 | Saturday, November 13, 1982 | 3665.43 |
| 1984 | Saturday, March 31, 1984 | 3666.67 |
| 2003 | Saturday, August 30, 2003 | 3676.15 |
| 1983 | Saturday, January 1, 1983 | 3676.74 |
| 1962 | Saturday, October 27, 1962 | 3687.21 |
| 1958 | Saturday, November 8, 1958 | 3694.04 |
| 1963 | Saturday, March 9, 1963 | 3695.12 |
| 2004 | Saturday, January 10, 2004 | 3696.60 |
| 1954 | Saturday, November 27, 1954 | 3697.22 |
| 1965 | Saturday, September 25, 1965 | 3699.74 |
| 2011 | Saturday, May 7, 2011 | 3714.49 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Derby County's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County (3757) vs. Manchester United (4302) Wednesday, January 7, 2009 |
-497.4 | 5.4% | 1-0 | +18.9 |
| Manchester United (4268) vs. Derby County (3905) Saturday, May 5, 2001 |
-429.6 | 7.8% | 0-1 | +18.4 |
| Derby County (3697) vs. Nottingham Forest (4029) Saturday, January 8, 1983 |
-240.3 | 20.1% | 2-0 | +24.0 |
| Derby County (3686) vs. Norwich City (4004) Saturday, February 18, 1984 |
-225.8 | 21.4% | 2-1 | +15.7 |
| Derby County (3841) vs. Everton (4150) Wednesday, October 23, 1968 |
-205.3 | 23.5% | 1-0 | +15.3 |
| Manchester United (4175) vs. Derby County (3890) Saturday, April 5, 1997 |
-350.6 | 11.7% | 2-3 | +17.7 |
| Derby County (3798) vs. Chelsea (4078) Wednesday, October 2, 1968 |
-174.7 | 26.8% | 3-1 | +22.0 |
| Derby County (3954) vs. Preston North End (4230) Saturday, October 19, 1889 |
-170.5 | 27.3% | 2-1 | +14.5 |
| Derby County (3871) vs. Nottingham Forest (4131) Saturday, November 24, 1979 |
-156.5 | 28.9% | 4-1 | +24.9 |
| Derby County (3951) vs. Sunderland (4206) Saturday, September 14, 1895 |
-121.3 | 33.2% | 2-0 | +20.0 |
| Derby County (3698) vs. Liverpool (3949) Saturday, October 19, 1957 |
-144.9 | 30.3% | 2-1 | +13.9 |
| Derby County (3750) vs. AFC Bournemouth (4000) Sunday, November 21, 2021 |
-211.9 | 22.8% | 3-2 | +15.4 |
| Derby County (3694) vs. Liverpool (3940) Saturday, November 15, 1958 |
-141.1 | 30.7% | 3-2 | +13.9 |
| Derby County (3714) vs. Birmingham City (3957) Saturday, August 6, 2011 |
-196.7 | 24.4% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
| Derby County (3897) vs. Chelsea (4134) Saturday, October 30, 1999 |
-169.3 | 27.4% | 3-1 | +21.8 |
| Derby County (3767) vs. Fulham (4002) Friday, April 15, 2022 |
-196.0 | 24.4% | 2-1 | +15.1 |
| Derby County (3869) vs. Arsenal (4102) Saturday, September 27, 1952 |
-133.1 | 31.7% | 2-0 | +20.5 |
| Derby County (3845) vs. West Bromwich Albion (4077) Saturday, November 3, 1979 |
-128.7 | 32.3% | 2-1 | +13.5 |
| Derby County (3757) vs. Newcastle United (3987) Tuesday, February 9, 2010 |
-184.9 | 25.6% | 3-0 | +26.0 |
| Crystal Palace (4065) vs. Derby County (3838) Sunday, January 5, 2020 |
-266.7 | 17.7% | 0-1 | +8.2 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Derby County's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chorley (3168) vs. Derby County (3802) Saturday, January 9, 2021 |
+593.9 | 96.8% | 2-0 | -14.5 |
| Derby County (3902) vs. Sheffield Wednesday (3294) Saturday, January 31, 1891 |
+715.5 | 98.4% | 2-3 | -19.7 |
| Cambridge United (3500) vs. Derby County (3990) Tuesday, September 19, 1989 |
+412.0 | 91.5% | 2-1 | -18.3 |
| Exeter City (3573) vs. Derby County (4056) Saturday, January 10, 1931 |
+353.5 | 88.4% | 3-2 | -17.7 |
| Derby County (3663) vs. Boston United (3193) Saturday, December 10, 1955 |
+577.0 | 96.5% | 1-6 | -38.6 |
| Southend United (3479) vs. Derby County (3909) Tuesday, September 22, 1987 |
+341.1 | 87.7% | 1-0 | -17.5 |
| Derby County (3892) vs. Bristol Rovers (3497) Sunday, January 6, 2002 |
+460.6 | 93.4% | 1-3 | -14.0 |
| Portsmouth (3505) vs. Derby County (3891) Wednesday, August 12, 2015 |
+348.1 | 88.1% | 2-1 | -8.8 |
| Derby County (3860) vs. Grimsby Town (3493) Wednesday, August 24, 2005 |
+423.7 | 92.0% | 0-1 | -9.2 |
| Hartlepool United (3352) vs. Derby County (3713) Wednesday, September 4, 1985 |
+271.6 | 82.7% | 2-0 | -24.8 |
| Crewe Alexandra (3457) vs. Derby County (3802) Tuesday, August 10, 2010 |
+300.1 | 84.9% | 1-0 | -8.5 |
| Millwall (3701) vs. Derby County (4037) Saturday, February 20, 1937 |
+204.1 | 76.4% | 2-1 | -15.3 |
| Halifax Town (3398) vs. Derby County (3726) Tuesday, August 31, 1982 |
+236.9 | 79.6% | 2-1 | -15.9 |
| Stockport County (3636) vs. Derby County (3957) Monday, January 1, 1912 |
+195.0 | 75.4% | 4-0 | -28.3 |
| Crawley Town (3486) vs. Derby County (3801) Monday, January 10, 2011 |
+269.4 | 82.5% | 2-1 | -8.2 |
| Lincoln City (3600) vs. Derby County (3904) Friday, April 17, 1908 |
+178.2 | 73.6% | 1-0 | -14.7 |
| Birmingham City (3626) vs. Derby County (3927) Saturday, February 18, 1911 |
+175.1 | 73.3% | 2-0 | -22.0 |
| Glossop (3636) vs. Derby County (3934) Saturday, February 10, 1912 |
+172.7 | 73.0% | 3-1 | -21.9 |
| Hartlepool United (3404) vs. Derby County (3698) Saturday, November 17, 1984 |
+201.2 | 76.1% | 2-1 | -15.2 |
| Bradford Park Avenue (3416) vs. Derby County (3701) Saturday, August 25, 1956 |
+177.1 | 73.5% | 3-2 | -14.7 |
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The twenty teams that Derby County are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Derby County are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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